The Indianapolis Colts have to decide what to do with the first pick in the 2012 NFL draft. Should they use it on Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck or trade it away and stick with Peyton Manning?

It is still unclear if Manning will make a full recovery from neck surgery that caused him to miss the entire 2011-2012 season, which is why this is a tough decision for the Colts.

Many experts are calling the first pick in the 2012 draft the most valuable pick to come along in decades. That is because Luck has been deemed the "chosen one" and is already being compared with the greatest quarterbacks in NFL history.

The most recent reports have the Luck pick being worth two first-round picks and two second-round picks. Just imagine what a team like the Washington Redskins would offer Indy for Luck.

Luck has the potential to be someone that a team could build around for many years.

However, there have been countless examples of over-hyped quarterbacks coming out of college turning into busts in the NFL. Tim Couch, Andre Ware, Ryan Leaf, Todd Marinovich and JaMarcus Russell are only a few of those busts.

If it is discovered that Manning will never regain the strength he had and be 100 percent, then by all means, the Colts need to cut ties with him and move on with Luck. However, if it can be shown that Manning is fully back, then the Colts would be crazy to turn their back on him for an unproven rookie.

Playing this past season without Manning at the helm exposed the many issues the Colts have on their roster. Trading the right to draft Luck would greatly help fix some of those roster issues. Numerous high draft picks or valuable veterans would help the Colts fill out a competitive roster. Again, however, if Peyton comes back healthy, he needs to be the guy.

Sure, Luck may turn out to be the next Peyton Manning or John Elway. Or, he could be more like Couch or Ware.